UFC 319 Betting Preview: Du Plessis vs Chimaev, Value Picks & Full Card

UFC 319 Betting Preview: All you need to know before one of this year’s most stacked cards.

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UFC 319 Betting Preview: All you need to know before one of this year's most stacked cards.

UFC 319 Betting Preview

The lights are blazing, the crowd is restless, and the stakes are sky-high. Tonight in Chicago, the Octagon hosts a middleweight title clash that feels carved for the big screen. This UFC 319 Betting Preview sets the table for a pay-per-view dripping with narrative: an unstoppable force with relentless wrestling pressure collides with a champion who thrives in chaos and won’t take a backward step. From top to bottom, it’s the kind of card that turns casuals into die-hards — and die-hards into true believers. Welcome to your UFC 319 Betting Preview, where we break down the best angles and pinpoint the value.

🔥 Dricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight Title) — Best Bet

There’s no mystery about what Khamzat Chimaev brings: pace, pressure, and a mauling ground game that forces opponents to make bad choices. Du Plessis won’t concede ground willingly — he’s awkward, durable, and fearless in the pocket — but that stubbornness can put him in clinch and mat sequences where Chimaev excels. Expect frantic scrambles early and some momentum swings as the champion fights off the tide.

Why Round 3? Chimaev typically sets a sprinting tempo from the horn. Du Plessis’s toughness can carry him beyond the initial blitz, but sustained top pressure, wrist control, and mat returns compound. By the third, accumulated damage and positional dominance can crack the door for a finish — ground-and-pound into a TKO or a hurried back-take into a choke.

Pick: Khamzat Chimaev to win in Round 3
Odds (Coolbet): +1000
Why we like it: Relentless chaining of takedowns and rides can wear down even elite resistance; Round 3 is the sweet spot between early durability and late accumulation.

UFC 319 Betting Preview verdict: a high-value prop that fits the stylistic script without overpaying for an early blitz.

🧠 Gerald Meerschaert vs Michał Oleksiejczuk — Veteran Grind Angle

On paper, this looks binary: Oleksiejczuk’s fast hands and early heat versus Meerschaert’s craft on the mat. The market often leans “finish or be finished,” but there’s a third path: the veteran slowing the tempo, mixing clinch control, level-changes, and cage wrestling to bank minutes. If GM3 avoids the first-round landmine and wins the geography battle (fence, trips, mat time), his usually submission-centric approach can still translate into round-winning control without necessarily finding the tap.

Oleksiejczuk can be explosive, but he’s also shown stretches of caution when faced with real grappling threats. That caution — while smart — can concede initiative and optics. Meerschaert’s edge is experience: smart pressure, threatened back-takes, and mat returns that sway judges even in scramble-heavy rounds.

Pick: Gerald Meerschaert via Decision
Odds (Coolbet): +550
Why we like it: Live underdog path via control time, fence work, and veteran savvy over three measured rounds.

In this UFC 319 Betting Preview, the contrarian decision ticket is a small-stake, big-price sprinkle that capitalizes on an overlooked route to victory.

💥 Edson Barboza vs Drakkar Klose — KO Threat at Range

Barboza remains a nightmare matchup for opponents who advance without elite entries. Give him space and rhythm, and the kicks pile up — legs, body, then head — until something breaks. Klose is sturdy and methodical, but his best work often starts with pressure. Against Barboza, linear pressure without speed can mean walking onto counters, flying knees, or a spin that arrives before the guard is set.

The blueprint for Klose is to smother: clinch, re-clinch, and force resets against the fence. But one clean acceleration from Barboza can flip the round — or the fight. Over three, the Brazilian’s shot selection at kicking range creates multiple KO windows.

Pick: Edson Barboza by KO/TKO
Odds (Coolbet): +275
Why we like it: Speed and variety at range versus linear pressure; multiple finishing weapons, especially as damage accumulates.

The UFC 319 Betting Preview angle: take the proven finisher in his wheelhouse at a plus number.

📝 Quick Betting Notes

All odds are quoted in American format and sourced from Coolbet: Double up your first deposit up to $200 CAD
Consider staking smaller on long-shot props; variance is your friend at big prices.
Line movement can be sharp near walkouts — lock numbers you like early.