Rockets vs Warriors Game 6 Betting Prediction

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets are locked in a fierce first-round playoff battle, with Golden State holding a 3-2 series lead heading into Game 6.

Rockets vs Warriors Betting Prediction: As someone who has followed every minute and is confident enough to wager 7 units on the Warriors -5 spread, I’ll break down why Game 6 looks like Golden State’s moment. This Rockets vs Warriors Game 6 betting prediction comes from a personal perspective, backed by comprehensive analysis of the first five games, key statistics, injury storylines (notably Steph Curry’s thumb injury), player performances, and even the intense antics of Dillon Brooks.

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Games 1 & 2: Warriors Strike First, Rockets Respond

Game 1 (at Houston): The 7th-seeded Warriors stunned the 2nd-seeded Rockets in the opener, winning 95-85 on the road. Steph Curry was spectacular with 31 points, and Golden State led by as many as 23 points in the third quarter. Jimmy Butler chipped in an all-around gem with 25 points, 7 rebounds, 6 assists, and 5 steals. Houston shot just 6-of-29 from three and 11-of-20 on free throws. Alperen Şengün impressed with 26 points, but Fred VanVleet and Jalen Green combined to shoot 7-for-34.

Game 2 (at Houston): Two nights later, Houston answered in a 109-94 victory. Jalen Green exploded for 38 points, and the Rockets never trailed. Jimmy Butler exited early with a pelvic contusion. Houston’s physical defense frustrated Curry and the Warriors, tying the series 1-1.

Games 3 & 4: Warriors Seize Control (Amid Chaos)

Game 3 (at Golden State): Steph Curry dropped 36 points, 9 assists, and 7 rebounds in a 104-93 win. Buddy Hield and Gary Payton II combined for 33 off the bench. Dillon Brooks picked up four fouls in the first half and fouled out late, hampering Houston’s perimeter defense.

Game 4 (at Golden State): Jimmy Butler returned and delivered 27 points, going 12-for-12 at the line. Sophomore Brandin Podziemski led the team with 26 points. The game was chippy, with technicals on Curry, Draymond, and Brooks. The Warriors pulled off a 109-106 win and went up 3-1 in the series.

Game 5: Rockets Roar Back as Curry Struggles

Houston exploded for 40 first-quarter points and never looked back in a 131-116 blowout. All five starters scored in double digits. Curry was held to 13 points on 4-of-12 shooting, and Butler added just 8. The Rockets' defense constantly targeted Curry’s injured right thumb, disrupting his rhythm. The Warriors rested starters early. Houston stayed alive and forced a Game 6.

Curry’s Thumb Injury and Houston’s Tactics

Curry has been battling a thumb injury on his shooting hand. Houston defenders—especially Dillon Brooks—have clearly targeted it. Curry scored only 30 points combined in Games 4 and 5, struggling from deep. Golden State will likely adjust by freeing Curry off-ball and relying more on their supporting cast. At home, with a friendlier whistle, Curry could bounce back in Game 6.

Dillon Brooks: Villain and Wildcard

Dillon Brooks has played the antagonist role perfectly. He’s drawn early fouls, provoked confrontations, and jawed with Curry and Draymond throughout the series. Despite the chaos, Brooks is averaging 15 points on efficient shooting and scored 24 in Game 5. In Game 6, he’ll need to stay disciplined. If he picks up early fouls or technicals, it could swing the game to Golden State’s favor.

Game 6 Betting Prediction: Why I’m Backing the Warriors -5

• Home Court: Golden State is undefeated at home in the postseason. Houston’s young core hasn’t proven itself in road elimination games.
• Coaching & Adjustments: Steve Kerr will have counters for Houston’s zone. Expect smarter ball movement and more off-ball Curry action.
• Regression for Houston: The Rockets shot 55% from the field and 43% from three in Game 5. That’s unlikely to repeat on the road.
• Experience: The Warriors have closed dozens of playoff games. Houston’s inexperience could show late in a tight game.

Rockets vs Warriors Game 6 Betting Prediction:

• Bet: Warriors -5
• Odds: -103
• Stake: 7 Units

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