Bet of the day: Southampton – Manchester United

Southampton will host Manchester United this weekend in a high-stakes Premier League clash at St. Mary’s Stadium. Both teams are under pressure after poor starts to the 2024-25 campaign, making this a crucial game for their seasons.

Southampton’s Fight for Survival

Southampton, fresh from Championship promotion, are yet to earn a point in their first three Premier League matches. Despite competitive performances, such as narrow 1-0 losses to Newcastle and Nottingham Forest, they’ve struggled to find the net, managing just one goal in three games. The Saints’ most recent match—a 3-1 defeat to Brentford—highlighted their vulnerability at the back, but they showed promise in a 5-3 win over Cardiff in the EFL Cup​.

Manager Russell Martin will continue to rely on Aaron Ramsdale in goal after his tough debut, with Gavin Bazunu out due to a long-term Achilles injury. Southampton’s key attacking threat will be Ben Brereton Díaz, who will aim to capitalize on Manchester United’s defensive uncertainties. His pace and strength, combined with Cameron Archer’s ability to stretch defenses, give Southampton a potential edge on the counter.

Manchester United’s Need for a Turnaround

On the other hand, Manchester United are reeling after back-to-back Premier League losses to Brighton and a humiliating 3-0 defeat to Liverpool. Erik ten Hag is under growing pressure to deliver results after a shaky start, and the international break may have provided a much-needed reset for his squad.

Despite injuries to key players like Luke Shaw, Rasmus Højlund, and Mason Mount, United have a strong squad heading into this fixture. Bruno Fernandes is set to return after a minor knock, and his creativity will be vital as United aim to break down Southampton’s defense. Marcus Rashford, Amad Diallo, and Alejandro Garnacho will likely spearhead the attack, supported by Casemiro in midfield​.

Tactical Battle and Predicted Lineups

Southampton are expected to set up in a 3-5-2 formation, looking to remain compact defensively while hitting United on the break. Ben Brereton Díaz and Cameron Archer will lead their attack, with midfielders Flynn Downes and Joe Aribo tasked with stifling United’s creativity in the middle of the park.

United, meanwhile, will opt for their usual 4-2-3-1 formation, with Bruno Fernandes at the heart of their attacking play. Casemiro will be partnered by Kobbie Mainoo in midfield, while Rashford and Garnacho will provide width and pace​.

Betting Tip: Double Chance – Southampton Win or Draw

Although Manchester United are favorites on paper, Southampton’s recent resilience in this fixture—drawing three of their last four meetings with United—suggests this game could be tighter than expected. The Saints will also benefit from playing at home, and United’s recent form has been far from convincing.

Given these factors, our recommended bet is to place 4 units on a double chance for Southampton to win or draw at 2.19 odds. This bet covers both potential outcomes where Southampton avoid defeat, which seems like a strong possibility given Manchester United’s shaky form​.