Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction: Betting on Minnesota +9.5

TIMBERWOLVES VS THUNDER PREDICTION: The Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder face off again on February 24, 2025, in the second game of a back-to-back series between the two Western Conference contenders.

Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction: With both teams coming off last night's battle, fatigue could play a major role in this matchup.

The Thunder currently lead the Western Conference with a 46-10 record, while the Timberwolves sit at 31-27, fighting for playoff positioning. Despite their struggles, Minnesota has played Oklahoma City tough this season, never losing by more than 9.5 points in their previous meetings.

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Recent Performance and Head-to-Head Matchups

Over the last five games, the Thunder have won four of five, including a 130-123 victory over the Timberwolves last night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led OKC with 37 points, 8 rebounds, and 8 assists, while Jalen Williams added 24 points.

The Timberwolves, meanwhile, have lost four of their last five, but they have kept every game against the Thunder close this season:

• Feb 23, 2025: Thunder 130, Timberwolves 123
• Jan 20, 2025: Thunder 102, Timberwolves 97
• Dec 31, 2024: Thunder 113, Timberwolves 105

Key trend: Minnesota has not lost by more than 9.5 points in any meeting with OKC this season, making them a strong bet to cover the spread.

Injury Updates

Both teams enter this game dealing with injuries and the effects of back-to-back fatigue.

Minnesota Timberwolves:

• Donte DiVincenzo (toe sprain) – OUT
• Julius Randle (groin strain) – OUT
• Rudy Gobert (low back spasms) – QUESTIONABLE

Oklahoma City Thunder:

• Ajay Mitchell (toe sprain) – OUT
• Nikola Topic (knee surgery) – OUT

Gobert’s status is a key factor—his availability would significantly impact Minnesota’s defense against Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren.

Betting Insight

The biggest factor in this game is the back-to-back scheduling for both teams. Historically, teams struggle in these situations, leading to lower shooting percentages and tighter, slower-paced games.

Minnesota’s ability to keep games competitive against OKC this season is also crucial. Given that they haven’t lost by more than 9.5 points in any matchup this season, backing the Timberwolves to cover +9.5 is a strong value bet.

Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction

The Thunder are the better team overall, but the scheduling disadvantage, injury concerns, and Minnesota’s history of keeping these games close make Timberwolves +9.5 the smart play. Expect another competitive battle between these two teams.

Pick: Timberwolves +9.5 (+120)
Stake: 3 Units
Bookie: 1win