Most things have gone wrong for the Black Sea club, Trabzonspor. A record of 0-3-0 and a goal difference of 1-1 is not what we are used to seeing from them. They also lost to St. Gallen in the Conference League qualifiers. This led to Abdullah Avci stepping down, and Senol Gunes has been in charge for the last two games. He has at least managed to shore up the defense, but for the people of Trabzon, this is not enough. The club belongs at the top, and it’s urgent to get the season back on track.
The home team secured a solid point against Besiktas last time, but a setback was Visca’s red card, which means he’ll miss this match. He has been a reliable performer from his wing position, and now that Trabzonspor needs both goals and points, his absence will be deeply felt. However, this absence also adds more value to our bet. Additionally, forward Enis Destan is likely to miss the game, and there is uncertainty surrounding striker Simon Banza, attacking midfielder Chian Canak, and left winger Anthony Nwakaeme.
As for Kayserispor, their situation is quite similar, although expectations are naturally a bit lower. They could have finished mid-table last year if not for a three-point deduction by the federation. Now, they are below the relegation line, with a 0-2-1 record from their first three games this season. Kayserispor also has to cope without several key offensive players. Midfielders Ramazan Civelek and Mehdi Bourabia, along with winger Aylton Boa Morte, all had to leave the last game before halftime and won’t be ready for this one. These three key absences both strengthen Trabzonspor’s chances and significantly reduce the likelihood of goals from the visiting team.
Kayserispor has averaged 1 goal per game, but against a Trabzonspor side that needs to continue tightening up at the back to climb the table, they’ll struggle to maintain that stat. While history between these two teams suggests plenty of goals, the fact remains that Trabzonspor’s games average only 0.7 goals per game so far this year, while Kayserispor’s games average 2.3. Given Trabzonspor’s current situation, it’s likely more about winning rather than winning big in this match.
Burak Yilmaz’s men have won only one of their last 14 games, so there is good value in betting on a home win and possibly a home win with an Asian handicap. But given the home team’s scoring struggles combined with the absence of key offensive players from both teams, it feels safer to go with the following bet:
Turkey, 19:00: Trabzonspor – Kayserispor: Under 3 goals – Asian handicap
Alternative bet:
Turkey, 19:00: Trabzonspor – Kayserispor: Under 2.5 goals
